Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.063541 0.075170 0.088202 0.103870 0.122179 0.142883 0.168054
2025-05-04 0.045963 0.061042 0.079849 0.104952 0.137505 0.178207 0.232872
2025-05-11 0.036029 0.052375 0.074531 0.106591 0.151607 0.212347 0.300278
2025-05-18 0.030121 0.047196 0.071985 0.110311 0.167728 0.250133 0.376850
2025-05-25 0.024126 0.040418 0.065559 0.106773 0.172138 0.271149 0.431611
2025-06-01 0.020361 0.036211 0.062039 0.106633 0.181008 0.299125 0.499548
2025-06-08 0.017187 0.032309 0.058219 0.105145 0.187097 0.322989 0.563398
2025-06-15 0.015289 0.030234 0.057037 0.107729 0.200015 0.359100 0.651264
2025-06-22 0.013185 0.027378 0.053977 0.106417 0.205750 0.383422 0.721505
2025-06-29 0.011274 0.024536 0.050462 0.103647 0.208276 0.402101 0.783522
2025-07-06 0.009620 0.021909 0.046930 0.100251 0.209014 0.417343 0.840612
2025-07-13 0.008766 0.020811 0.046262 0.102417 0.220782 0.454462 0.943117
2025-07-20 0.007870 0.019492 0.044993 0.103272 0.230254 0.488695 1.045001
2025-07-27 0.007057 0.018221 0.043639 0.103763 0.239067 0.522714 1.150656
2025-08-03 0.006420 0.017252 0.042804 0.105262 0.250211 0.562736 1.273253
2025-08-10 0.005994 0.016727 0.042908 0.108911 0.266573 0.615559 1.428914
2025-08-17 0.005204 0.015117 0.040167 0.105411 0.266064 0.631610 1.505991
2025-08-24 0.004695 0.014162 0.038887 0.105272 0.273421 0.665935 1.627691
2025-08-31 0.004185 0.013106 0.037181 0.103802 0.277324 0.692724 1.734946
2025-09-07 0.003909 0.012670 0.037038 0.106354 0.291558 0.745225 1.908229
2025-09-14 0.003508 0.011785 0.035537 0.105058 0.295764 0.774094 2.027769
2025-09-21 0.003103 0.010805 0.033616 0.102322 0.295816 0.792732 2.124153
2025-09-28 0.002726 0.009842 0.031586 0.098967 0.293746 0.805774 2.207858